This blog entry contains briefs thoughts on hardware and software sales in Japan in the period mentioned in the title.
Hey there, this blog post here is an experiment.
Often I want to make some comments about what happened on sales during the week when I post data, however sometimes the comments I have are so inconsequential it feels worthless posting them, and when they were big twitter just wouldn't let me, so for the most part I kept everything to myself, so a couple of weeks ago I thought the idea of just making a small blog post every week with whatever I have to say.
Mind you, as mentioned above, this first post is an experiment, I won't promise I'll keep doing these, also if there's nothing to say or I just am too busy to write an entry there won't be one either, so with that, let's begin.
As is this will be similar to the Japan Monthly Report, just much more condensed and laid back.
See the full top 30 here: https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/games-by-year/2017-weekly
Call of Duty is doing very well, great first week and great second week drop, it already outsold Infinite Warfare, it should keep doing well for the rest of the year as there's not much coming out on PS4. Last year Battlefield 1 just took over the attention of shooter fans, COD got it back this year, I wouldn't expect for Star Wars: Battlefront II to do much to it, specially with all the controversy surrounding it.
350k retail sounds achievable for this year, at least it'll definetly sell more than 300k, it might even outsell Nier: Automata and become the 2nd best selling PS4 game of the year.
Mario is doing excellent as well, it'll take it less than a month to outsell Mario Kart in retail and it already outsold 3D World. Mario's future performance depends on the Switch more than anything, but it should be one of the biggest holiday titles anyway, that bundle certainly helps, outselling Sunshine (790k) is happening this year, it might even outsell the Galaxy games as well (1m each)
First week sales of Need for Speed are the highest for the series in 12 years, best since Most Wanted on PS2, pretty good, but given it's reception it'd expect sales to crater next week, at least we have one racing game doing well compared to expectations, as there's another one doing terrible.
About the old games, Splatoon 2 keeps on tracking, it already outsold the PS4 version of Dragon Quest XI (retail) and is only 150k behind the original's LTD, Mario Kart is also doing comparatively well to the original on Wii U, launches aligned its around 20k behind, but the original was in mid December, even then when comparing it directly Deluxe is yet to dip below 10k while the original did many times, on Switch Mario Kart has been more consistent, first year sales will be higher for Deluxe, and presumably LTD as well, not much else to buy on Switch next year. Zelda also keeps doing well already outselling Majora's Mask and keeping consistent sales, honestly I was expecting it to be done by July, but it keeps going strong into the holidays.
On the PS4 games we have both Ark and Assassin's Creed doing well, the latter is already the best selling retail title of the series on PS4 and the fastest selling title in the series in Japan, taking that year of as well as those sales earlier this year must've helped, it should sell over 100k, it's elevated price (9000 yen) is the only obstacle. As a whole this has been a great year for PS4 with plenty of titles performing above expectations, but if you want to see one doing poorly then Gran Turismo Sport is the prime example, awful first week, awful week to week drop and awful sell through; Gran Turismo and Everybody's Golf were Sony's big titles in Japan, both game out this year and neither did anything, for two flagship first party titles to not even sell 500k combined is terrible.
For what it's worth Sony doesn't need relevant titles in Japan, for nearly 4 years the PS4 has done fine without them, and even then their western games have been doing well, just this year we had Horizon: Zero Dawn selling over 250k being a brand new game, and there's of course Call of Duty.
Other somewhat underperforming PS4 titles show what kind of audience the PS4 has, we keep seeing more serious games, the ones reaching for teenagers and young adults keep doing very well on PS4 but more family friendly titles don't reach big numbers and often don't show good legs, Taiko is showing some pretty rough drops and Itadaki Street has basically shown no legs. There's nothing wrong with being more core focused, but that's a much more limited audience.
See more here https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/hardware-by-year/2017-weekly
The Xbox One X came out this week and it did alright for what it was, it sold around twice as much as the Xbox One S did when it released last year and it makes it the biggest week for Xbox One in nearly 3 years, since holiday 2014.
Switch increasse is promising, while stock is still limited stores are no longer holding lotteries, during the upcoming weeks we'll see if the whole situation has been fixed, even then Nintendo Switch will be the biggest holiday item, expect weeks well above 100k, if Nintendo can put enough systems on shelves of course. In 2011 3DS had the best post launch week selling nearly 600k, so let's see if Switch can outdo that, as is outselling Wii U this year should still be happening. As for the 3DS, Pokémon should show how much gas does it have left, as is the new 2DS XL hasn't done much for the system.
PS4 keeps doing well staying at 30k despite no notable releases, it's been down YoY, even if by small margins since mid September (Price cut+Persona 5) and it'll probably stay that way for the rest of the year, even then at worst the PS4 will be flat YoY.
See more here https://sites.google.com/site/gamedatalibrary/software-data/2017-retail
It's impressive just how well PS4 keeps doing compared to the 3DS in hardware, it got really close to it twice in a year, 3DS is selling a million games next week so it should away for the rest of the year though. Even the PS4 already surpassesd 2016's sales despite being mid November, some 10 million games should be sold this year, PS3 sold around 12 million during its peak, though PS4 could outdo that next year, PS3 was consistent though, selling over 34 million games during it's peak years. PS4 may also keep up with that but it's worth noting that PS3 reached it's peak uncontested, the Wii had already faded away, while PS4 will have the strongest of competitors.
Also PS4 isn't making up for the loss of Vita and PS3 software, if it wasn't for the Switch it'd be a negative year.
Brief thoughts for next week: Pokémon should do well compared to everything else, but bad for Pokémon standards, Battlefront II will see a large drop from the original and the split of Dragon Quest X Ver. 4 will be very interesting, as is I'm expecting it to sell the most on Wii U (crazy!) but PS4 might outdo it, expect the worst sales on Switch.
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